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Originally Posted by AlucardDaMaster Nintendo, I think, will not survive the cooperate and competitive world of video gaming after the release of the PS3. Several things play into my opinion on this. For one, the Gamcube is totally screwed. It lost 14% of it's profits last June, and that number is growing thanks to Microsoft's Xbox 360. Plus, the Gamecube has NO really popular games out right now, and the more crappy games Nintendo release, the more they will loose in profits. Secondly, the Xbox 360 is going to boom in profits after Halo 3 comes out. Sure, that won't be for a while, but the Wii's not coming out for another few months either so it won't really matter. Halo 2 sold over 7 million copies, making $125 million on the first day of it's release, and I expect Halo 3 to make much more than that. Finally, with the PSP out and fighting against the DS, although it doesn't have more sales, it's presence, along with a possible portable gaming release by Microsoft, will for sure, in my opinion, ruin Nintendo. |
You make some good points. However, let's look at history for a moment. The difference between the PSP and the DS sales in Japan is much, much wider than the difference in the USA. And, the sales in Japan, the home nation of both systems, usually counts
alot more than the sales in other nations. This is because Japan has a history for liking one console above the rest. That is why the PS1 and PS2 are, admittedly, more popular in Japan than Nintendo. However, one must take in to account, that Nintendo isn't dead in Japan; it's far from it. The only system series that is dead in Japan is the Xbox, because they aren't marketing their system correctly. The Playstation consoles would have to seriously screw up to allow Nintendo to come in to first place, and Microsoft would seriously have to turn their act around overseas to get their system to sell.
However, back to the first thing about the PSP and the DS. Sure, we may see a PSP2. It is likely. However, like I said before, Japan likes their Nintendo portable series just as they like their Playstation console series. In my opinion, and in my theory, if the PSP2 is released, it will do worse than it did this generation, because people will have it in their minds the games that made the DS so popular in the first place, and they will flock to the DS's successor, in greater quantities, than with the first DS. So, Nintendo, in theory, will remain king of the portables.
Now, about American sales of the 360 and the PS3. In my opinion, it will end up like this- PS3 third, Wii second, and 360 first, unlike Japan, where I see the PS3 first, and the 360 last. The 360 will be first, in America, for a few reasons.
A) The 360 came out first, and it has already made a decent splash in the market.
B) It will remain popular in America because of shooters, such as Halo 3.
C) The console, and it's games, are going to be cheaper than the PS3.
The Wii will be second because it is going to be super-cheap. Parents bought systems in the past based on the, what is it, $299 price? That sounds good. When they see the PS3 coming out, which will be $500-$600 dollars, they will flock to the cheapest one. Or, they can have a few games for their PS3, and have to wait until their children's next birthday or the next Christmas to get their PS3 games. Children are, and always will be, a big part of the market, and alot of sales can be associated with parents buying kids games. This doesn't affect the adult market, much, though. However, for families, it will be a different story. Kids do play the PS1 and PS2, as well as the 360.
Now, this doesn't mean the PS will be dead. There
will, and always will, be a Playstation. However, where there is a Playstation, there will always be a major Japanese competitor, and that will be Nintendo. And, where there be a Nintendo and a Playstation, there will always be a major American competitor, and that will be Microsoft. That is how I look at it.
Hey, I did this without saying why each system is better, only why they might succeed or fall in second place. Good for me.
