Beginning of Earth
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07-04-2012, 07:18 PM
Heaven is full of goodness and icosahedrons
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Edmonton, AB
Re: Beginning of Earth
But if you are insistent on applying it to the real world, then the question still stands; why does our person using probability theory have to necessarily believe these things have non-trivial probability?
There's nothing special about "these things", but in general I'd stipulate (and if I need to take this axiom than so be it) that any possible world which allows a human being to communicate information with another intelligence through some symbolic medium under a consistent history
allows for the possibility that this experience could be counterfeited (by either the intelligence itself, flaws in the human's abilities, or a malicious third party) at a non-zero probability.
Of course, I think at this point I'd also be willing to amend my original declaration to "a human being can 'almost never' update on an initial probability assignment of zero", and leave the dissection of this "sheer coincidence" to more interested parties.
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